Thanks to Kitty for finding this article.
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/05/05/business/economy/05debt.html?ref=business
Thursday, May 5, 2011
Wednesday, May 4, 2011
Paper vs. Physical Silver Prices
With silver prices plummeting at the COMEX, the price of physical silver hasn't dropped as much, creating a huge premium for physical bullion over spot price. This is what silver bugs have predicting, as physical shortages don't follow the price manipulation of the paper markets.
Having said that, silver's stratospheric prices have encouraged scrap supply to come on-line. Hence, prices for physical bullion (and coins) should drop relative to the COMEX futures prices over the next several weeks, shrinking the current premium over spot. A period of consolidation to digest the incoming scrap supply is in order, with silver trading within a range, setting up for its next move above huge resistance at $50. If it holds above the nominal all-time high, it's onward and upward with no meaningful resistance above $50. Silver would then merely catch up to gold's record-breaking bull market.
See disclaimers in the side bar.
Disclosure: long silver mining shares.
Having said that, silver's stratospheric prices have encouraged scrap supply to come on-line. Hence, prices for physical bullion (and coins) should drop relative to the COMEX futures prices over the next several weeks, shrinking the current premium over spot. A period of consolidation to digest the incoming scrap supply is in order, with silver trading within a range, setting up for its next move above huge resistance at $50. If it holds above the nominal all-time high, it's onward and upward with no meaningful resistance above $50. Silver would then merely catch up to gold's record-breaking bull market.
See disclaimers in the side bar.
Disclosure: long silver mining shares.
Labels:
COMEX futures,
paper,
physical silver,
shortage
As silver plunges, the coverage from the financial media intensifies
During the rise of gold and silver to record highs, the coverage was more limited. I'm nibbling silver-related assets on the way down, as levered longs are liquidating. When investing in volatile assets, never use leverage, as the commercial shorts will stop you out of your positions. See entry points here.
Labels:
financial media,
silver
Dick Morris Reports: How The Government Lies About Inflation
http://youtu.be/yWcBr02fgDo
For accurate data on such metrics as unemployment and inflation, please visit John Williams' www.shadowstats.com.
Labels:
government lies,
inflation
Tuesday, May 3, 2011
A.M. Kitco Metals Roundup: Comex Gold Lower, Silver Sharply Lower as U.S. Dollar Index Firmer, Crude Oil Weaker
http://www.kitco.com/reports/KitcoNews20110503JW_am.html
Against a wave of liquidation of silver longs (mostly due to another CME hike in margin requirements, <click here>), I am going against the grain and accumulating mining shares (buying the dip). I'm glad I took partial profits last week, allowing me to raise cash to buy back in today. Silver could drop more, and while trying to "catch a falling knife" is considered dangerous, I've been eying AGQ for a bit, and I'd rather nibble at $258 than at $382. If silver continues to drop, I will nibble some more, but never depleting my cash reserves. Good luck everyone.
See disclaimers in the side bar.
Disclosure: added AGQ at $289.33, $258.1899, $258.06 and SLW at $36.785, $36.35 today (5/3/11).
Edit 1: filled at $235.37 with AGQ, and $36.145 with SLW on 5/4/11.
Edit 2: filled at $215.9999, $214.465, and $201.90 with AGQ, and $35.84 with SLW on 5/5/11.
Edit 3: filled at $181.02, $189.1799 with AGQ, and $35.844, $36.17 with SLW on 5/6/11.
Edit 4: sold a tranche of AGQ at $206.80.
Against a wave of liquidation of silver longs (mostly due to another CME hike in margin requirements, <click here>), I am going against the grain and accumulating mining shares (buying the dip). I'm glad I took partial profits last week, allowing me to raise cash to buy back in today. Silver could drop more, and while trying to "catch a falling knife" is considered dangerous, I've been eying AGQ for a bit, and I'd rather nibble at $258 than at $382. If silver continues to drop, I will nibble some more, but never depleting my cash reserves. Good luck everyone.
See disclaimers in the side bar.
Disclosure: added AGQ at $289.33, $258.1899, $258.06 and SLW at $36.785, $36.35 today (5/3/11).
Edit 1: filled at $235.37 with AGQ, and $36.145 with SLW on 5/4/11.
Edit 2: filled at $215.9999, $214.465, and $201.90 with AGQ, and $35.84 with SLW on 5/5/11.
Edit 3: filled at $181.02, $189.1799 with AGQ, and $35.844, $36.17 with SLW on 5/6/11.
Edit 4: sold a tranche of AGQ at $206.80.
Monday, May 2, 2011
CME Group Hiking Silver-Futures Margins By Another 11.6%
http://www.kitco.com/reports/KitcoNews20110502AS_CME.html
I view each margin hike as short-term negative for any commodity, as weak longs liquidate, but long-term it remains bullish for silver because buyers of physical bullion buy at discounted prices and provide a floor for the silver market.
See disclaimers in the side bar.
Disclosure: long silver.
I view each margin hike as short-term negative for any commodity, as weak longs liquidate, but long-term it remains bullish for silver because buyers of physical bullion buy at discounted prices and provide a floor for the silver market.
See disclaimers in the side bar.
Disclosure: long silver.
Labels:
CME,
margin requirements,
silver
More On The Silver Dive: "Massive Sell Orders" Coupled With Bolivian Nationalization Halt Combine For Perfect Weak Hand Shakeout Storm
http://www.zerohedge.com/article/more-silver-dive-massive-sell-orders-coupled-bolivian-nationalization-halt-combine-perfect-w
Looks like the old sell into low volume trick to flush the stops and kill the weak hands has worked again. Throw in last week's two CME margin hikes and Friday night's margin bonanza by MF Global, and one had a perfect storm set up for another wipe out in silver to start the week.
In the meantime, silver promptly managed to retrace over 50% of the move shortly after the dump. At this point whatever holders remain following last week's margin action and this evening's fine example of shock and awe will likely need far more energy and capital to be shaken out by the same entities whose primary goal is to prevent the surge in silver and ongoing capital-sapping collateral calls. Since none of the actual fundamentals before the long-term trajectory in silver (and gold) have changed, this appears like a rather attractive entry point.
Lastly, one should recall that silver had a mini 10% correction last week and not only promptly recovered but nearly passed the $50 level shortly thereafter. This time will not be any different.
Labels:
silver
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)

