Wednesday, May 4, 2011

Paper vs. Physical Silver Prices

With silver prices plummeting at the COMEX, the price of physical silver hasn't dropped as much, creating a huge premium for physical bullion over spot price.  This is what silver bugs have predicting, as physical shortages don't follow the price manipulation of the paper markets.

Having said that, silver's stratospheric prices have encouraged scrap supply to come on-line.  Hence, prices for physical bullion (and coins) should drop relative to the COMEX futures prices over the next several weeks, shrinking the current premium over spot.  A period of consolidation to digest the incoming scrap supply is in order, with silver trading within a range, setting up for its next move above huge resistance at $50.  If it holds above the nominal all-time high, it's onward and upward with no meaningful resistance above $50.  Silver would then merely catch up to gold's record-breaking bull market.

See disclaimers in the side bar.

Disclosure:  long silver mining shares.

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