Showing posts with label initial claims. Show all posts
Showing posts with label initial claims. Show all posts
Thursday, May 5, 2011
Thursday, October 14, 2010
Jobless claims revisions

Click on graph to enlarge
http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/files/images/user5/imageroot/shirakawa/BLS%20Revision%20Update.jpg
Normally, when data is revised, it averages out to some points being revised up if the initial data is too low, and some points being revised down if the initial data is too high. Over time, there is a regression to the mean, which is a neutral value of zero.
But after looking at the chart above of initial and continuing jobless claims, we find that upward revisions occur 75 out of 76 weeks. The odds of this happening by coincidence are statistically impossible. Obviously, there is a persistent bias to publish data which understates the true unemployment picture.
The Bureau of Labor Statistics should rename themselves the Bureau of Lies and Statistics.
Labels:
BLS,
continuing,
initial claims,
jobless claims,
revision,
unemployment
Thursday, August 5, 2010
Initial claims for unemployment insurance rises
http://www.dol.gov/opa/media/press/eta/ui/eta20101073.htm
I'm sure our government leaders will come up with another positive spin on the numbers.
I'm sure our government leaders will come up with another positive spin on the numbers.
Labels:
initial claims,
unemployment insurance
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)
