Showing posts with label verge. Show all posts
Showing posts with label verge. Show all posts
Friday, October 6, 2017
Thursday, August 11, 2016
Thursday, July 14, 2016
Thursday, June 4, 2015
WARNING: Western Central Banks Are Now On The Verge Of Losing Control
This daily update by Art Cashin doesn't say much, except for the brief quote by Peter Boockvar.
http://kingworldnews.com/warning-western-central-banks-are-now-on-the-verge-of-losing-control/
http://kingworldnews.com/warning-western-central-banks-are-now-on-the-verge-of-losing-control/
I’ve
said this before but I’m sorry, I need to say it again. What we are
witnessing in global markets is the inherent contradiction writ large
that is modern day monetary policy where dangerously ZIRP, NIRP and QE
are considered conventional policies. The contradiction is simply this:
the desire for higher inflation if fulfilled will result in higher
interest rates that central banks are trying so hard and desperately to
suppress.
Outside
of the short end of the curve, markets will always win for better or
worse and that is clearly evident now. The ECB is getting their first
taste of the market talking back and in quite the violent way. In the
US, the bond market is watching the Fed drag its feet (its never-ending)
with wanting to raise interest rates and finally said enough is enough.
The US Treasury market is tightening for them. Since mid April, the 5
yr note yield is higher by 40 bps, the 10 yr is up by 55 bps and the 30
yr yield is up by 65 bps.
The
Fed now has two choices, raise rates in June or July and get back some
control or don’t and lose it further. Bigger picture, IF the rise in
rates continues around the world in coming quarters and it starts to
impact global growth, central banks will then reach its next decision,
whether to fight the rise with more QE or to just let markets normalize
on their own. For US equities, I don’t think they should be so
nonchalant with what is going on in bonds as extremely low interest
rates have been their best friend over the years.
Labels:
central banks,
losing control,
verge,
Western
Friday, November 28, 2014
Wednesday, August 21, 2013
Sunday, July 7, 2013
Global Markets Now On The Verge Of Total Panic & Meltdown
http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/KWN_DailyWeb/Entries/2013/7/7_Global_Markets_Now_On_The_Verge_Of_Total_Panic_%26_Meltdown.html
What happened on Friday certainly suggests that something major could be just around the corner. It is well known that a rise in interest rates beyond certain levels will lay naked the insolvency of governments around the world.
While we certainly do not relish the chaos that would result from a meltdown of the bond market, it will not come as a shock to those who have studied financial history. It is always the result of the fiscal and monetary policies which have been irresponsibly pursued, whether well-intended or not.There are no examples in history of any paper currency not culminating in a violent collapse. None. It has been tried by all of our ancestors throughout human history. All examples resulted in failure. The lesson never learned is that humans cannot be trusted with the ability to create money out out thin air. The list of those who have come before us include the Mongols, Chinese, French, Germans, Romans, Hungarians, etc. It is not about a particular culture or a period in time. It just does not work.If the carnage in the bond market continues next week, we could finally be at that moment where the system reacts chaotically and violently. It is sad, but it is the predictable end to the financial path that was chosen in the mid-1960s.For those who are dispirited by the action in the energy and precious metals markets, a true panic out of financial assets into so-called real assets will cause those markets to skyrocket when denominated in fiat currency. Today was a warning that this moment might finally be at hand.
Labels:
global markets,
meltdown,
Total Panic,
verge
Thursday, May 9, 2013
Saturday, April 13, 2013
Monday, June 27, 2011
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