"If the media reports are accurate, then this recalls the methods used by enemies during the Cold War," German Justice Minister Sabine Leutheusser-Schnarrenberger. "It is beyond comprehension that our friends in the United States see Europeans as enemies."
Sunday, June 30, 2013
EU officials furious over reports NSA bugged diplomatic offices on both sides of Atlantic
http://www.nypost.com/p/news/international/both_officials_furious_over_reports_pStwC0bTQ1ILdW99VtdOkO
Labels:
Bugged,
diplomatic offices,
EU officials,
furious,
NSA,
reports
NSA Bugged European Union Offices, Computer Networks
Maybe this is why President Obama had no allies at the G-8 summit meeting.
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2013/06/29/nsa-european-union_n_3521820.html?utm_hp_ref=world&ir=World
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2013/06/29/nsa-european-union_n_3521820.html?utm_hp_ref=world&ir=World
Labels:
Bugged,
Computer Networks,
European Union,
NSA,
Offices
Parallels Between the 1970's Gold Bull Market and Today
There are many parallels between the bull market in gold in the 1970's and today's 12-year bull run in gold.
1) Between 1971, when Nixon closed the gold window of redeemability, and 1980, gold soared from $35/oz. to $$875/oz., a 25-fold move up.
Gold reached its double-bottom secular low of around $250/oz., in 1999 and 2001. A 25-fold move up is approximately $6250/oz..
2) In the late 60's/early 70's, the U.S. was running huge deficits of several billions fighting an undeclared war in Vietnam. Overspending was financed by debt.
Today, the U.S. is running huge deficits in the trillions fighting numerous undeclared wars globally, and especially in the Middle East. Again, government spending is debt-financed.
3) In the 70's, inflation was running wild due to currency debasement, as price controls failed.
Today, official CPI inflation data indicates low inflation, but real world inflation is running closer to 9% when prices of all items are factored in, including food and energy. CPI data is understated due to other reasons, including hedonics and substitution recalculations.
For instance, if the price of steak rises, the BLS replaces the cost of steak with the cost of hamburger; the logic being households adjust to rising prices by buying a cheaper product. Inflation problem solved. I guess the next recalculation will institute replacement of hamburger with dog food.
4) During gold's historic rise from $35/oz. to $875/oz., it corrected 47.7% between January 1975 and August 1976, from approximately $197/oz. back down to $103/oz.. Of course, gold then recovered from $103/oz. all the way up to $875/oz. between 1976 to January 1980.
Gold peaked in August 2011 at $1923/oz., before dropping to an intraday low on June 27, 2013 of $1186/oz., a drop of 38.3%.
Traders of markets understand that 61.8% is a significant Fibonacci number, as are 38.2% and 50%.
History suggests this recent correction in the gold bull market is just that--a correction. The implication is this bull market in gold is not over, especially given the fundamentals of currency debasement and government indebtedness are still intact.
1) Between 1971, when Nixon closed the gold window of redeemability, and 1980, gold soared from $35/oz. to $$875/oz., a 25-fold move up.
Gold reached its double-bottom secular low of around $250/oz., in 1999 and 2001. A 25-fold move up is approximately $6250/oz..
2) In the late 60's/early 70's, the U.S. was running huge deficits of several billions fighting an undeclared war in Vietnam. Overspending was financed by debt.
Today, the U.S. is running huge deficits in the trillions fighting numerous undeclared wars globally, and especially in the Middle East. Again, government spending is debt-financed.
3) In the 70's, inflation was running wild due to currency debasement, as price controls failed.
Today, official CPI inflation data indicates low inflation, but real world inflation is running closer to 9% when prices of all items are factored in, including food and energy. CPI data is understated due to other reasons, including hedonics and substitution recalculations.
For instance, if the price of steak rises, the BLS replaces the cost of steak with the cost of hamburger; the logic being households adjust to rising prices by buying a cheaper product. Inflation problem solved. I guess the next recalculation will institute replacement of hamburger with dog food.
4) During gold's historic rise from $35/oz. to $875/oz., it corrected 47.7% between January 1975 and August 1976, from approximately $197/oz. back down to $103/oz.. Of course, gold then recovered from $103/oz. all the way up to $875/oz. between 1976 to January 1980.
Gold peaked in August 2011 at $1923/oz., before dropping to an intraday low on June 27, 2013 of $1186/oz., a drop of 38.3%.
Traders of markets understand that 61.8% is a significant Fibonacci number, as are 38.2% and 50%.
History suggests this recent correction in the gold bull market is just that--a correction. The implication is this bull market in gold is not over, especially given the fundamentals of currency debasement and government indebtedness are still intact.
Labels:
1970's,
Gold Bull Market,
Parallels,
Today
Saturday, June 29, 2013
Even A Pawn Star Knows "Governments Can Screw Up The Currency"
How come this pawn broker can figure out something our esteemed Fed Chairman Bernanke cannot?
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-06-28/even-pawn-star-knows-governments-can-screw-currency
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-06-28/even-pawn-star-knows-governments-can-screw-currency
Labels:
currency,
governments,
Knows,
Pawn Star,
Screw Up
EU makes bank creditors bear losses as Cyprus bail-in becomes blue-print for rescues
This answers any doubts as to whether depositors will be on the hook when their bank collapses. Taxpayers funded the last round of bank bailouts. Depositors will be next.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/financialcrisis/10145355/EU-makes-bank-creditors-bear-losses-as-Cyprus-bail-in-becomes-blue-print-for-rescues.html
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/financialcrisis/10145355/EU-makes-bank-creditors-bear-losses-as-Cyprus-bail-in-becomes-blue-print-for-rescues.html
Labels:
bail-in,
bank creditors,
bear,
blue-print,
Cyprus,
EU,
losses,
rescues
China’s Commodities Output More Potent, Standard Chartered Says
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-06-25/china-s-commodities-output-more-potent-standard-chartered-says.html
“Although it is the world’s largest producer of gold, 40 percent of its production uses imported gold in concentrates,” according to Standard Chartered report. “It is not inconceivable that by 2016 China will be importing nearly 2,000 tons of gold each year, which is 80 percent of global mine supply.”Uh-oh.
Normalcy Bias
"By the end of 1935, 100,000 Jews had left Germany, but 450,000 still [remained]. Wealthy Jewish families... kept thinking and hoping that the worst was over...
Many of the German Jews, brilliant, cultured, and cosmopolitan as they were, were too complacent. They had been in Germany so long and were so well established, they simply couldn't believe there was going to be a crisis that would endanger them. They were too comfortable. They believed the Nazi's anti-Semitism was an episodic event and that Hitler's bark was worse than his bite. [They] reacted sluggishly to the rise of Hitler for completely understandable but tragically erroneous reasons. Events moved much faster than they could imagine." - Barton Biggs in "Wealth, War, and Wisdom
“In the world of psychology, they call this the ‘normalcy bias.’ You see, the normalcy bias actually refers to our natural reactions when facing a crisis. The normalcy bias causes smart people to underestimate the possibility of a disaster and its effects. In short: People believe that since something has never happened before… it never will. We are all guilty of it… it’s just human nature.The normalcy bias also makes people unable to deal with a disaster, once it has occurred. Basically… people have a really hard time preparing for and dealing with something they have never experienced. The normalcy bias often results in unnecessary deaths in disaster situations. For example, think about the Jewish populations of World War II…This is one of the most tragic examples of the devastating effects of the ‘normalcy bias’ the world has ever seen.” - Porter Stansberry
Labels:
Jews,
Nazi Germany,
Normal Bias
The Difference Between Banking and Custody
THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN BANKING AND CUSTODY
As a client of AFE, it is absolutely imperative that you understand this critical difference between banking and custody. For many years, the terms in use in the storage industry have been the subject of much writing and analysis, yet I still find it to be the least understood aspect of precious metals ownership, particularly for the retail investor.
I have seen many articles over the years which point out that no matter what, if you are going to store metals with any entity besides yourself, make sure you do it using “allocated storage.” While this is great advice, it does not address the legal issues of banking versus custody. This is where the whole if-you-get-allocated-you-are-safe idea has come to play, but it is a dangerous safety blanket.
The term "allocated" is used to describe a situation where a storage provider can identify both by inventory, serial number, manufacturer, and weight an exact bar or bars owned by a particular investor or institution. If needed, they can walk to it in a vault and identify it by sight.
From time to time I have seen it recommended that you only store metal in allocated storage but outside of the banking system. The question is, "Why?"
After reading much of the commentary surrounding this subject, I have come to the conclusion that many who write about it don’t really understand why to hold it outside of a bank either. They have assumed that if it is allocated, even with a bank, it is somehow safe from loss.
Recently in Cyprus, the two largest banks were on the verge of insolvency. After multiple rounds of hardball negotiations with the ECB, Cyprus agreed to confiscate depositor funds to help recapitalize the banks calling it a “bail-in” instead of a “bailout.” If it did not do this, Cyprus would have had its credit lines cut and banks fail causing a complete collapse of the Cyprus banking system. Following these events, stories have broken that virtually every country on the planet is in various stages of implementing the legal and systemic requirements to do the same thing should banks in their jurisdictions fail.
The idea that any depositor of a bank is considered a creditor, and even an investor, is being accepted among central bankers and governments as the policy to follow in the event of future bank failures. This means that as a depositor, you are actually an investor in that bank. If it fails, you as an investor could lose the entirety of your deposits. The legal basis for this is that your bank is paying you interest, which can be argued this makes you an investor since your capital is put at risk. In return for this risk, the bank offers you a profit. If a bank fails/goes insolvent/bankrupt, your “property” held by that bank is considered part of that bank's balance sheet and assets. In other words, it is no longer your property as far as a court sees it; it is able to be used to satisfy the recapitalization of that bank.
If you have allocated storage with a bank, pay close attention to the details of the contract. Always bear in mind that even if a court recognizes that the gold or silver belongs to you, it does not mean you will have access to it if a bank’s assets are frozen during a crisis. The confusion arises because most people have incorrectly assumed that banks are acting on the same legal basis as a custodian, which is simply not true and never has been. The moment you signed your agreement with the bank for your account, you were no longer the owner. Be careful here, as most agreements with financial services providers, including broker dealers, operate the exact same way.
Legally this is critically different to a custodial arrangement with a private custodial agent such as AFE. In a custodial arrangement, you are working with a private party, not a bank, to temporarily safeguard your property. An example of this is when you give your car to a mechanic for repairs. The car does not become the mechanic's property, and it is not added to his balance sheet. He is a temporary custodian of it. If his auto repair company happened to go out of business while he had custody of your car, the court could not declare your car as property of the mechanic to be used to recapitalize his business or satisfy his creditors. The same goes for when you ship something by Federal Express or other well-known courier. They don’t become the owner of what you are shipping; they are a temporary custodian of it and release responsibility for that custody the moment the receiving party signs for it.
This is not some mysterious new legal concept; its history goes back thousands of years. Warehousing has been called the “second oldest profession,” stemming from the biblical story of Joseph who stored grain during the seven good years against the famine of the seven bad years. In custody, the legal concept is called “bailment.” (There is a plethora of information about how it works easily available to anyone who has access to Google.) Without it, goods could never be stored, warehouses would be out of business, and all of commerce globally from manufacturer to end buyer would come to a screeching halt.
Even the American IRS acknowledges the difference between a financial account and privately-owned gold in private custody:
Q20. I directly hold precious metals for investment, such as gold, in a foreign country. Do I need to report these assets on Form 8938? (IRS Basic Questions)
No. Directly held precious metals, such as gold, are not specified as foreign financial assets. Note, however, that gold certificates issued by a foreign person may be a specified foreign financial asset you would have to report on Form 8938 if the total value of all your specified foreign financial assets is greater than the reporting threshold that applies to you.
It is important that your custodian not provide “banking,” not offer interest on gold in its custody, and not engage in the business of placing its client’s assets at financial risk for returns. By contrast, these are by nature the standard daily business practices of the banks you hold your cash (and gold?) with. Private custody agents such as AFE are only a custodial agent and not a financial services provider or bank, which means the gold is never added to the custody agent’s balance sheets, never becomes the custody agent’s property, and in the event of the custody agent’s demise, cannot be claimed by a court to be used for the custody agent’s recapitalization or to pay off its creditors.
FRIGHTENED BANKERS AND MORE FRIGHTENING GOVERNMENT
So the recent story goes, a wealthy gentleman, who was a friend of a well-known precious metals commentator, had gold held in "allocated storage" with a Swiss bank. The precious metals commentator was a professional in terms of trading gold, but an expert (not a professional) in gold custody. The wealthy gentleman asked the bank to give him physical delivery of the metal, but the bankers refused to do so. The assumption is made that the gold simply isn’t there, allocated storage is bogus, and thus you must store it yourself. Trust no one!
This is a dangerous assumption. Based on AFE's professional knowledge of the subject, it is most likely not only incorrect, but could cause great harm to a precious metals investor who really needs the services that private custodial agents provide but is influenced against it by someone who does not fully understand the difference between banking and custody. As I mentioned before, most wealthy and institutional investors have resources to recognize this difference by hiring professional legal counsel with experience in law pertaining to bailment as well as across jurisdictions. Most retail investors do not.
We recently had an inquiry from a USA domiciled billionaire who was holding tens of millions of USD worth of silver in a recognized Swiss bank, whom we shall not name. He was informed by that bank, as have many other US clients been informed, that he had until January 1, 2013, to figure out what to do with it as the bank was closing the relationship. The billionaire wanted to have AFE take delivery of his metal and assume custody. We have received many similar calls since this process has been driven all through the banking sector in Switzerland in anticipation of having to comply with FATCA. Anglo Far-East did a great deal of work in terms of offering options and solutions, even going so far as to accept a metal transfer directly with our refinery accounts which this bank also has an account with. At the end of the day, the bank did not want to transfer the metal but preferred to cash the client out. Here is the interesting part, and this comes from direct conversations with Swiss Bankers. In Switzerland right now, every banker is in fear of being charged by the US Government at some later date with terrorism or some bogus financial crime and apprehended as he travels through the US, for example while on vacation to Disneyland with his family, only to be locked away for the rest of his life and maybe tortured or who knows what else.
AFE METAL IS NOT PURCHASED THROUGH BANKS
AFE METAL IS NOT VAULTED WITH BANKS
AFE METAL IS NOT SOLD THROUGH BANKS
As a client of AFE, it is absolutely imperative that you understand this critical difference between banking and custody. For many years, the terms in use in the storage industry have been the subject of much writing and analysis, yet I still find it to be the least understood aspect of precious metals ownership, particularly for the retail investor.
I have seen many articles over the years which point out that no matter what, if you are going to store metals with any entity besides yourself, make sure you do it using “allocated storage.” While this is great advice, it does not address the legal issues of banking versus custody. This is where the whole if-you-get-allocated-you-are-safe idea has come to play, but it is a dangerous safety blanket.
The term "allocated" is used to describe a situation where a storage provider can identify both by inventory, serial number, manufacturer, and weight an exact bar or bars owned by a particular investor or institution. If needed, they can walk to it in a vault and identify it by sight.
From time to time I have seen it recommended that you only store metal in allocated storage but outside of the banking system. The question is, "Why?"
After reading much of the commentary surrounding this subject, I have come to the conclusion that many who write about it don’t really understand why to hold it outside of a bank either. They have assumed that if it is allocated, even with a bank, it is somehow safe from loss.
Recently in Cyprus, the two largest banks were on the verge of insolvency. After multiple rounds of hardball negotiations with the ECB, Cyprus agreed to confiscate depositor funds to help recapitalize the banks calling it a “bail-in” instead of a “bailout.” If it did not do this, Cyprus would have had its credit lines cut and banks fail causing a complete collapse of the Cyprus banking system. Following these events, stories have broken that virtually every country on the planet is in various stages of implementing the legal and systemic requirements to do the same thing should banks in their jurisdictions fail.
The idea that any depositor of a bank is considered a creditor, and even an investor, is being accepted among central bankers and governments as the policy to follow in the event of future bank failures. This means that as a depositor, you are actually an investor in that bank. If it fails, you as an investor could lose the entirety of your deposits. The legal basis for this is that your bank is paying you interest, which can be argued this makes you an investor since your capital is put at risk. In return for this risk, the bank offers you a profit. If a bank fails/goes insolvent/bankrupt, your “property” held by that bank is considered part of that bank's balance sheet and assets. In other words, it is no longer your property as far as a court sees it; it is able to be used to satisfy the recapitalization of that bank.
If you have allocated storage with a bank, pay close attention to the details of the contract. Always bear in mind that even if a court recognizes that the gold or silver belongs to you, it does not mean you will have access to it if a bank’s assets are frozen during a crisis. The confusion arises because most people have incorrectly assumed that banks are acting on the same legal basis as a custodian, which is simply not true and never has been. The moment you signed your agreement with the bank for your account, you were no longer the owner. Be careful here, as most agreements with financial services providers, including broker dealers, operate the exact same way.
Legally this is critically different to a custodial arrangement with a private custodial agent such as AFE. In a custodial arrangement, you are working with a private party, not a bank, to temporarily safeguard your property. An example of this is when you give your car to a mechanic for repairs. The car does not become the mechanic's property, and it is not added to his balance sheet. He is a temporary custodian of it. If his auto repair company happened to go out of business while he had custody of your car, the court could not declare your car as property of the mechanic to be used to recapitalize his business or satisfy his creditors. The same goes for when you ship something by Federal Express or other well-known courier. They don’t become the owner of what you are shipping; they are a temporary custodian of it and release responsibility for that custody the moment the receiving party signs for it.
This is not some mysterious new legal concept; its history goes back thousands of years. Warehousing has been called the “second oldest profession,” stemming from the biblical story of Joseph who stored grain during the seven good years against the famine of the seven bad years. In custody, the legal concept is called “bailment.” (There is a plethora of information about how it works easily available to anyone who has access to Google.) Without it, goods could never be stored, warehouses would be out of business, and all of commerce globally from manufacturer to end buyer would come to a screeching halt.
Even the American IRS acknowledges the difference between a financial account and privately-owned gold in private custody:
Q20. I directly hold precious metals for investment, such as gold, in a foreign country. Do I need to report these assets on Form 8938? (IRS Basic Questions)
No. Directly held precious metals, such as gold, are not specified as foreign financial assets. Note, however, that gold certificates issued by a foreign person may be a specified foreign financial asset you would have to report on Form 8938 if the total value of all your specified foreign financial assets is greater than the reporting threshold that applies to you.
It is important that your custodian not provide “banking,” not offer interest on gold in its custody, and not engage in the business of placing its client’s assets at financial risk for returns. By contrast, these are by nature the standard daily business practices of the banks you hold your cash (and gold?) with. Private custody agents such as AFE are only a custodial agent and not a financial services provider or bank, which means the gold is never added to the custody agent’s balance sheets, never becomes the custody agent’s property, and in the event of the custody agent’s demise, cannot be claimed by a court to be used for the custody agent’s recapitalization or to pay off its creditors.
FRIGHTENED BANKERS AND MORE FRIGHTENING GOVERNMENT
So the recent story goes, a wealthy gentleman, who was a friend of a well-known precious metals commentator, had gold held in "allocated storage" with a Swiss bank. The precious metals commentator was a professional in terms of trading gold, but an expert (not a professional) in gold custody. The wealthy gentleman asked the bank to give him physical delivery of the metal, but the bankers refused to do so. The assumption is made that the gold simply isn’t there, allocated storage is bogus, and thus you must store it yourself. Trust no one!
This is a dangerous assumption. Based on AFE's professional knowledge of the subject, it is most likely not only incorrect, but could cause great harm to a precious metals investor who really needs the services that private custodial agents provide but is influenced against it by someone who does not fully understand the difference between banking and custody. As I mentioned before, most wealthy and institutional investors have resources to recognize this difference by hiring professional legal counsel with experience in law pertaining to bailment as well as across jurisdictions. Most retail investors do not.
We recently had an inquiry from a USA domiciled billionaire who was holding tens of millions of USD worth of silver in a recognized Swiss bank, whom we shall not name. He was informed by that bank, as have many other US clients been informed, that he had until January 1, 2013, to figure out what to do with it as the bank was closing the relationship. The billionaire wanted to have AFE take delivery of his metal and assume custody. We have received many similar calls since this process has been driven all through the banking sector in Switzerland in anticipation of having to comply with FATCA. Anglo Far-East did a great deal of work in terms of offering options and solutions, even going so far as to accept a metal transfer directly with our refinery accounts which this bank also has an account with. At the end of the day, the bank did not want to transfer the metal but preferred to cash the client out. Here is the interesting part, and this comes from direct conversations with Swiss Bankers. In Switzerland right now, every banker is in fear of being charged by the US Government at some later date with terrorism or some bogus financial crime and apprehended as he travels through the US, for example while on vacation to Disneyland with his family, only to be locked away for the rest of his life and maybe tortured or who knows what else.
AFE METAL IS NOT PURCHASED THROUGH BANKS
AFE METAL IS NOT VAULTED WITH BANKS
AFE METAL IS NOT SOLD THROUGH BANKS
It
very well may be that it is not so much that the metal isn’t there for
delivery (we believe it is), but it’s that no banker in Switzerland is
willing to sign his name on transfer documentation for a US person that
may be used to charge them with a crime. This applies to an individual
banker's name on something that has to do with a US citizen and nothing to do with confiscation or other issues in regards to private gold ownership in Switzerland.
This brings me back to a very important point of why it is imperative to vault outside of banks. Not only could your property be potentially caught up in a bank recapitalization or failure, but the people who operate there are subject to banking regulation. Conversely, private property is a completely different animal falling under Swiss private property laws that are not regulated in Switzerland the same way as the banks are. Bankers in Switzerland and many other nations have to deal with potential ramifications of anything they sign off on, and everything they do is scrutinized by a government authority.
All of AFE’s operations in Switzerland fall under Swiss private property laws and do not touch the banking system or banking regulation.
In conclusion, be careful what you assume to be the reality of any market commentary you hear. There are different perspectives that may improve the quality of your decision making. With your wealth protection planning, be careful of and understand the specific viewpoint of any commentator, be they an Academic, an Expert, or a Professional, and weigh this into your discernment of what they are saying.
This brings me back to a very important point of why it is imperative to vault outside of banks. Not only could your property be potentially caught up in a bank recapitalization or failure, but the people who operate there are subject to banking regulation. Conversely, private property is a completely different animal falling under Swiss private property laws that are not regulated in Switzerland the same way as the banks are. Bankers in Switzerland and many other nations have to deal with potential ramifications of anything they sign off on, and everything they do is scrutinized by a government authority.
All of AFE’s operations in Switzerland fall under Swiss private property laws and do not touch the banking system or banking regulation.
In conclusion, be careful what you assume to be the reality of any market commentary you hear. There are different perspectives that may improve the quality of your decision making. With your wealth protection planning, be careful of and understand the specific viewpoint of any commentator, be they an Academic, an Expert, or a Professional, and weigh this into your discernment of what they are saying.
- Alex Stanczyk
Labels:
banking,
between,
custody,
difference
Thursday, June 27, 2013
Bitcoin: Is it a Legitimate Currency?
I've known about Bitcoin for a couple years, and in hindsight, I should have acted on it and bought a few. The recent price surge early in 2013 from a few dollars to its peak to $260, and subsequent crash to its current level of $100 is prima facie evidence that Bitcoin is a legitimate currency, traded in a market exchange.
In previous eras, items as diverse as seashells and tally sticks (animal bones and wood) have been used as currencies, as well as gold and silver for the past 6000 years. It is well established that during World War II, cigarettes and whiskey bottles were used as currencies. Enterprising soldiers in Iraq and Afghanistan knew the value of cigarettes amongst the troops. Cigarettes have been currencies in prison systems for decades. Where cigarettes are banned in prisons, postage stamps have been the currency of choice. Certificates and paper currencies have enjoyed monopolies by government decree, but they've certainly had competitors along the way, including black market exchanges.
One Bitcoin aficionado reminded me that toilet paper was a valuable asset during the Serbian-Croatian war. So to suggest that Bitcoin is not a legitimate currency is naive and wrong-headed, mainly because it has already been in use for three years running, but also because many other seemingly odd items have been used throughout monetary history.
Hard assets bugs may cringe at the thought of Bitcoin as a currency competitor to global paper currencies, but they also miss the point that Bitcoin is supplementary to precious metals, even if it is not a direct competitor to gold and silver as currencies. Whether it has also contributed to the recent plunge in gold and silver prices is debatable, but its standing as a legitimate alternative currency isn't.
From that perspective, Bitcoin is a DIRECT competitor to gold and silver--at least in this nascent stage of its existence. Before gold bugs throw tomatoes, I emphasize this observation realizing that gold and silver have NO competition as sustainable and durable MONEY in the long run. The existential debate of money vs. fiat currency is of wider scope, and can be searched throughout other blog entries.
When currencies collapse, the issuing empire collapses. That is not debatable, as history shows a 100% correlation for those inevitable outcomes.
My Bitcoin enthusiasm was fueled by my attendance at informal Bitcoin meetups in San Francisco and Sunnyvale since 2012. What raised my antenna was the presence of representatives from Paypal and VISA at one of the meetups last spring. That's when I knew these multi-billion dollar financial behemoths had an eye to the future, a world of minuscule transaction costs competing against the industry-standard 3% spread.
In the mean time, gold and silver prices remain undervalued, because there are competing, fiat currencies which the masses still have confidence in, despite their pervasive and persistent devaluations. Holders of said currencies will eventually discover the ravages of a currency collapse in a "When Money Dies" scenario <click here>.
Trust is being slowly eroded in those fiat currencies, and while some currency dissidents will naturally migrate to gold and silver, a growing minority are choosing Bitcoin and other virtual currencies out of necessity (they have low savings) or by choice (they typically are also anarcho capitalists). Anarcho capitalists are technologically savvy, libertarians, and prefer the pseudo-anonymity of virtual currencies. They respect the sovereignty of the individual in a non-aggressive fashion.
The outcome of Bitcoin appears binary: Bitcoin and other virtual currencies will become wildly successful, as they gain traction and become more mainstream. Or they will collapse, due to a variety of variables, including security breaches and predatory cannibalism. I'm betting on the former, as virtual currencies are competitive and cooperative simultaneously. For instance, Ripple may be a competing currency, but it also legitimizes the virtual currency infrastructure--a validation of Bitcoin. Dilution and unfettered proliferation are the major concerns there, but the growth of participants will outstrip the growth of currency units.
One pro-Bitcoin talking point superimposes its current adoption trajectory to the early stages of the internet, when a dial-up connection was the only choice. Another anecdotal observation is Bitcoin infrastructure courses are now offered at Stanford University, the world's preeminent educational institution for technology entrepreneurship. Google Ventures and Andreesen Horowitz invested in the aforementioned OpenCoin's Ripple. Peter Thiel led a round of financing for TransferWise. The list of venture capitalists funding virtual currency ventures is a Who's Who of silicon valley tech titans.
Bitcoin's decentralized infrastructure doesn't immunize it from government shutdown, but it at least provides some protection. Similarly, the demise of Napster did not precede the end of file-sharing. To the contrary, it ushered in the subsequent proliferation of BitTorrent, due to its decentralization. Both have peer-to-peer protocols which provide collateral "forking" should some branches get shut down or become polluted.
With Prism NSA surveillance exposed, there is no doubt that Bitcoin's pseudo-anonymity is being monitored by the government. The Department of Homeland Security seized Mt. Gox’s Dwolla account. Mt. Gox users can no longer use the popular Dwolla as a funding option. A drug dealer was recently raided by law enforcement via the Silk Road marketplace. The benevolence of the Bitcoin community assisted in bringing justice to dirty money, instead of sheltering the perps. Integrity and peer pressure enhance the Bitcoin marketplace.
The biggest concern for the viability of Bitcoin is the preservation of Bitcoin's cryptography, the protection of a Bitcoin user's wallet. A black hat intruding the security of cryptographic constructions would crash Bitcoin with lethal force, inflicting more damage than any government agency could. Having said that, its 256-bit encryption is virtually impossible to crack. Again, the operative word is "virtually". The one constant is the security arms race will continue to escalate exponentially. Having said that, the computing power needed to hack Bitcoin's encryption is mind-boggling in today's world.
But then again, this tech icon made this prediction:
To this gold bug, I do not dismiss Bitcoin's role in competitive currencies. But long-term, Exter's pyramid <click here> still rings true on gold's store-of-value function. Precious metals will remain the fundamental foundation of sound money.
Will that prevent Bitcoin--or other virtual currencies, from gaining acceptance? Absolutely not. It's legitimate. It's growing in stature and influence. It's backed by some of the brightest coders and forward-thinking corporations. It's decentralized. It's global--beyond national borders. It usurps government oppression. It's fungible. It's adaptable. It's community-based. It carries low transaction fees. And the 21 million unit cap preserves scarcity. That's enough incentive to buy a few--just in case.
Perhaps libertarian gold bug Ron Paul summed it up best in this interview:
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-04-23/ron-paul-bitcoin-if-i-cant-put-it-my-pocket-i-have-reservations
In previous eras, items as diverse as seashells and tally sticks (animal bones and wood) have been used as currencies, as well as gold and silver for the past 6000 years. It is well established that during World War II, cigarettes and whiskey bottles were used as currencies. Enterprising soldiers in Iraq and Afghanistan knew the value of cigarettes amongst the troops. Cigarettes have been currencies in prison systems for decades. Where cigarettes are banned in prisons, postage stamps have been the currency of choice. Certificates and paper currencies have enjoyed monopolies by government decree, but they've certainly had competitors along the way, including black market exchanges.
One Bitcoin aficionado reminded me that toilet paper was a valuable asset during the Serbian-Croatian war. So to suggest that Bitcoin is not a legitimate currency is naive and wrong-headed, mainly because it has already been in use for three years running, but also because many other seemingly odd items have been used throughout monetary history.
Hard assets bugs may cringe at the thought of Bitcoin as a currency competitor to global paper currencies, but they also miss the point that Bitcoin is supplementary to precious metals, even if it is not a direct competitor to gold and silver as currencies. Whether it has also contributed to the recent plunge in gold and silver prices is debatable, but its standing as a legitimate alternative currency isn't.
From that perspective, Bitcoin is a DIRECT competitor to gold and silver--at least in this nascent stage of its existence. Before gold bugs throw tomatoes, I emphasize this observation realizing that gold and silver have NO competition as sustainable and durable MONEY in the long run. The existential debate of money vs. fiat currency is of wider scope, and can be searched throughout other blog entries.
When currencies collapse, the issuing empire collapses. That is not debatable, as history shows a 100% correlation for those inevitable outcomes.
My Bitcoin enthusiasm was fueled by my attendance at informal Bitcoin meetups in San Francisco and Sunnyvale since 2012. What raised my antenna was the presence of representatives from Paypal and VISA at one of the meetups last spring. That's when I knew these multi-billion dollar financial behemoths had an eye to the future, a world of minuscule transaction costs competing against the industry-standard 3% spread.
In the mean time, gold and silver prices remain undervalued, because there are competing, fiat currencies which the masses still have confidence in, despite their pervasive and persistent devaluations. Holders of said currencies will eventually discover the ravages of a currency collapse in a "When Money Dies" scenario <click here>.
Trust is being slowly eroded in those fiat currencies, and while some currency dissidents will naturally migrate to gold and silver, a growing minority are choosing Bitcoin and other virtual currencies out of necessity (they have low savings) or by choice (they typically are also anarcho capitalists). Anarcho capitalists are technologically savvy, libertarians, and prefer the pseudo-anonymity of virtual currencies. They respect the sovereignty of the individual in a non-aggressive fashion.
The outcome of Bitcoin appears binary: Bitcoin and other virtual currencies will become wildly successful, as they gain traction and become more mainstream. Or they will collapse, due to a variety of variables, including security breaches and predatory cannibalism. I'm betting on the former, as virtual currencies are competitive and cooperative simultaneously. For instance, Ripple may be a competing currency, but it also legitimizes the virtual currency infrastructure--a validation of Bitcoin. Dilution and unfettered proliferation are the major concerns there, but the growth of participants will outstrip the growth of currency units.
One pro-Bitcoin talking point superimposes its current adoption trajectory to the early stages of the internet, when a dial-up connection was the only choice. Another anecdotal observation is Bitcoin infrastructure courses are now offered at Stanford University, the world's preeminent educational institution for technology entrepreneurship. Google Ventures and Andreesen Horowitz invested in the aforementioned OpenCoin's Ripple. Peter Thiel led a round of financing for TransferWise. The list of venture capitalists funding virtual currency ventures is a Who's Who of silicon valley tech titans.
Bitcoin's decentralized infrastructure doesn't immunize it from government shutdown, but it at least provides some protection. Similarly, the demise of Napster did not precede the end of file-sharing. To the contrary, it ushered in the subsequent proliferation of BitTorrent, due to its decentralization. Both have peer-to-peer protocols which provide collateral "forking" should some branches get shut down or become polluted.
With Prism NSA surveillance exposed, there is no doubt that Bitcoin's pseudo-anonymity is being monitored by the government. The Department of Homeland Security seized Mt. Gox’s Dwolla account. Mt. Gox users can no longer use the popular Dwolla as a funding option. A drug dealer was recently raided by law enforcement via the Silk Road marketplace. The benevolence of the Bitcoin community assisted in bringing justice to dirty money, instead of sheltering the perps. Integrity and peer pressure enhance the Bitcoin marketplace.
The biggest concern for the viability of Bitcoin is the preservation of Bitcoin's cryptography, the protection of a Bitcoin user's wallet. A black hat intruding the security of cryptographic constructions would crash Bitcoin with lethal force, inflicting more damage than any government agency could. Having said that, its 256-bit encryption is virtually impossible to crack. Again, the operative word is "virtually". The one constant is the security arms race will continue to escalate exponentially. Having said that, the computing power needed to hack Bitcoin's encryption is mind-boggling in today's world.
But then again, this tech icon made this prediction:
"No one will need more than 637 kb of memory for a personal computer—640K ought to be enough for anybody," Bill Gates, Microsoft, 1981.Bitcoin coders are some of the sharpest in the world, and will do everything in their power to protect the sanctity of its encryption. The element of trust needs to be in place, much like trust is inherent in fiat currencies. Hopefully, that trust isn't violated with Bitcoin, as it has with our financial overlords via currency debasement and re-hypothecated theft. And that Bitcoin advocates aren't re-introduced to the phrase "counterparty risk."
To this gold bug, I do not dismiss Bitcoin's role in competitive currencies. But long-term, Exter's pyramid <click here> still rings true on gold's store-of-value function. Precious metals will remain the fundamental foundation of sound money.
Will that prevent Bitcoin--or other virtual currencies, from gaining acceptance? Absolutely not. It's legitimate. It's growing in stature and influence. It's backed by some of the brightest coders and forward-thinking corporations. It's decentralized. It's global--beyond national borders. It usurps government oppression. It's fungible. It's adaptable. It's community-based. It carries low transaction fees. And the 21 million unit cap preserves scarcity. That's enough incentive to buy a few--just in case.
Perhaps libertarian gold bug Ron Paul summed it up best in this interview:
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-04-23/ron-paul-bitcoin-if-i-cant-put-it-my-pocket-i-have-reservations
"To tell you the truth, it's little bit too complicated. If I can't put it in my pocket, I have some reservations about that. But it has been designed in the free market. If it is a means of exchange, it would not ever be illegal. You shouldn't regulate it in the free market, but I do not think it fits the definition of money, which has been around for 6000 years.
People want to see something they can know what it is, they can define it, touch it and put in their pocket. If you do not have a computer and someone running the computer and calculations, you don't have it. I am not a big supporter of that, but I am not opposed to it. I admit, I do not fully understand what is going on with it."
Wednesday, June 26, 2013
Some hard numbers on the Western banking system
http://www.sovereignman.com/offshore/some-hard-numbers-on-the-western-banking-system-12150/
‘If one of you stands up right now and heads for the exit, the rest of the audience probably won’t pay much attention. If ten of you do it, one or two people may notice and follow. But if 400 of you suddenly head for the exit, the rest of the audience would probably follow quickly.’
It’s a great metaphor for how our financial system works. The entire system is based on confidence. And as long as most people maintain this confidence, everything is fine.
But as soon as a critical mass of people loses confidence in the system, then it starts a chain reaction. More people start heading for the exit. Which triggers even more people heading for the exit.
This is the model right now across the system. And it’s especially pervasive in the banking system.
Modern banking is based on this ridiculous notion that banks don’t actually have to hang on to their customers’ funds.
Labels:
confidence,
hard numbers,
Western banking system
Senator Lindsey Graham Apparently Not Sure If Bloggers Deserve 'First Amendment Protection'
Since this directly affects me, I'll retort in kind: Senator Lindsay Graham is a fascist.
http://www.techdirt.com/articles/20130606/04161823338/senator-lindsey-graham-apparently-not-sure-if-bloggers-deserve-first-amendment-protection.shtml
http://www.techdirt.com/articles/20130606/04161823338/senator-lindsey-graham-apparently-not-sure-if-bloggers-deserve-first-amendment-protection.shtml
Because when the government can magically decide that this kind of journalism is protected, while that kind of journalism which embarrasses the government is not protected, then you no longer have freedom of the press. At all.
NO BANK DEPOSITS WILL BE SPARED FROM CONFISCATION
You have been warned again and again on the pending bail-in. Your deposits are at risk.
http://www.zerohedge.com/contributed/2013-05-15/no-bank-deposits-will-be-spared-confiscation
http://www.zerohedge.com/contributed/2013-05-15/no-bank-deposits-will-be-spared-confiscation
Labels:
FROM CONFISCATION,
NO BANK DEPOSITS,
WILL BE SPARED
Tuesday, June 25, 2013
Gold Bear Market Hits Hardest in South Africa Mines: Commodities
Mine closures due to sinking gold prices will reduce supply. Labor strikes will increase producer costs. Both conditions are constructive for rising physical gold prices. Stay the course.
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-06-25/gold-bear-market-hits-hardest-in-south-africa-mines-commodities.html
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-06-25/gold-bear-market-hits-hardest-in-south-africa-mines-commodities.html
Regulating Large Financial Institutions
"Thank you. I'm delighted to be here, and want to thank the International Monetary Fund and the organizers of the conference for including me in a discussion of these important topics. I will focus my remarks today on the ongoing regulatory challenges associated with large, systemically important financial institutions, or SIFIs.1 In part, this focus amounts to asking a question that seems to be on everyone's mind these days: Where do we stand with respect to fixing the problem of "too big to fail" (TBTF)? Are we making satisfactory progress, or it is time to think about further measures?
I should note at the outset that solving the TBTF problem has two distinct aspects. First, and most obviously, one goal is to get to the point where all market participants understand with certainty that if a large SIFI were to fail, the losses would fall on its shareholders and creditors, and taxpayers would have no exposure. However, this is only a necessary condition for success, but not a sufficient one. A second aim is that the failure of a SIFI must not impose significant spillovers on the rest of the financial system, in the form of contagion effects, fire sales, widespread credit crunches, and the like. Clearly, these two goals are closely related. If policy does a better job of mitigating spillovers, it becomes more credible to claim that a SIFI will be allowed to fail without government bailout." - Jeremy Stein, Federal Reserve Governor
Labels:
bail out,
bail-in,
creditors,
Fed,
Financial Institutions,
Large,
regulating,
shareholders,
SIFI,
taxpayers,
TBTF
Silver Headed to $5/oz.!
Before silver bugs suffer cardiac arrest, read the article. The title was purposefully provocative.
http://www.24hgold.com/english/news-gold-silver-silver-headed-to-5-oz-.aspx?article=4417412492G10020&redirect=false&contributor=Jason+Hommel
http://www.24hgold.com/english/news-gold-silver-silver-headed-to-5-oz-.aspx?article=4417412492G10020&redirect=false&contributor=Jason+Hommel
U.S. Banks Present Industry-Led Crisis Plan To Federal Reserve
The sleepy-eyed US media is finally reporting about bank bail-ins. This policy of saving banks from collapse is coming.
http://www.valuewalk.com/2013/06/u-s-banks-crisis-plan-fed/
http://www.valuewalk.com/2013/06/u-s-banks-crisis-plan-fed/
The bail-in mechanism would be designed to place a greater burden on creditors, as opposed to the tax payers, in the event of a bank’s collapse.
Labels:
bail-in,
Crisis Plan,
Federal Reserve,
U.S. Banks
Monday, June 24, 2013
Pelosi's defense of NSA surveillance draws boos
More on the booing of Nancy Pelosi.
http://news.yahoo.com/pelosis-defense-nsa-surveillance-draws-boos-183845402.html;_ylt=AloyLmQ324wzgk_GbJUo1xHsYcp_;_ylu=X3oDMTIyMGNrMGI1BG1pdANIQ01PTCBvbiBhcnRpY2xlIHJpZ2h0IHJhaWwEcGtnA2lkLTMzNjU4MDgEcG9zAzEEc2VjA2hjbQR2ZXIDNg--;_ylg=X3oDMTBhYWM1a2sxBGxhbmcDZW4tVVM-;_ylv=3
http://news.yahoo.com/pelosis-defense-nsa-surveillance-draws-boos-183845402.html;_ylt=AloyLmQ324wzgk_GbJUo1xHsYcp_;_ylu=X3oDMTIyMGNrMGI1BG1pdANIQ01PTCBvbiBhcnRpY2xlIHJpZ2h0IHJhaWwEcGtnA2lkLTMzNjU4MDgEcG9zAzEEc2VjA2hjbQR2ZXIDNg--;_ylg=X3oDMTBhYWM1a2sxBGxhbmcDZW4tVVM-;_ylv=3
Labels:
defense,
draws boos,
NSA surveillance,
Pelosi
Sunday, June 23, 2013
Redemptions in the GLD are, oddly enough, Bullish for Gold
I agree with Sprott that the smashing of paper gold prices (including the naked short selling of the GLD ETF) has corresponded with the intensifying demand of physical gold. But I would add to his conclusion of:
This will accelerate the transfer of wealth from the West to the East, and the impending bankruptcy of Western economies.
http://www.sprott.com/markets-at-a-glance/redemptions-in-the-gld-are,-oddly-enough,-bullish-for-gold/
To us, this is clearly a bullish signal for gold.my corollary:
This will accelerate the transfer of wealth from the West to the East, and the impending bankruptcy of Western economies.
http://www.sprott.com/markets-at-a-glance/redemptions-in-the-gld-are,-oddly-enough,-bullish-for-gold/
Labels:
Bullish for Gold,
GLD,
oddly enough,
Redemptions
H.L. Mencken quote
As democracy is perfected, the office of the President represents, more and more closely, the inner soul of the people. On some great and glorious day, the plain folks of the land will reach their heart’s desire at last and the White House will be occupied by a downright fool and complete narcissistic moron.–H.L. Mencken, The Baltimore Evening Sun, July 26, 1920
Labels:
H.L. Mencken,
President,
White House
Ignore The Fed's DoubleSpeak And Get To Gold
This is an outstanding thesis of how the Fed is losing control of the US Treasury bond market. It's flow, not stock, Ben. As I've repeated, there will be no Fed exit.
http://seekingalpha.com/article/1514602-ignore-the-fed-s-doublespeak-and-get-to-gold
http://seekingalpha.com/article/1514602-ignore-the-fed-s-doublespeak-and-get-to-gold
Labels:
Double-Speak,
Fed,
Get To Gold,
Ignore
Bondholders would lose more than $1 trillion if yields spike - BIS
I have always stated and agree with the current BIS thesis that debts do matter. It's constructive that the BIS is finally coming around to that conclusion. But what's more significant is the relationships of the powers-that-be are starting to fray at the edges. The Bank for International Settlements is the central bank of central banks, so this showdown of austerity vs. growth will no doubt intensify. My bet is on the "pro-growth" sycophants winning, because governments will choose the politically expedient path of more debt and more spending.
http://uk.reuters.com/article/2013/06/23/uk-economy-global-bis-idUKBRE95M08020130623
http://uk.reuters.com/article/2013/06/23/uk-economy-global-bis-idUKBRE95M08020130623
Labels:
BIS,
Bondholders,
lose,
trillions,
yields spike
UK and China in £21bn currency swap deal
Even the staunchest U.S. allies are slowly abandoning the USDollar in their international trade settlements.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-23020718
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-23020718
Labels:
China,
currency swap deal,
UK,
yuan
WOW MUST SEE Obama destroyed & called a war criminal in Irish Parliament WOW MUST SEE
This woman has some serious balls.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CnJCvKA-oEU&NR=1&feature=endscreen
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CnJCvKA-oEU&NR=1&feature=endscreen
Labels:
destroyed,
Irish Parliament,
Obama,
war criminal
House Intelligence Committee's Mike Rogers: "Snowden's Actions Defy Logic"
Really? So Snowden seeks asylum from extradition, rendition, persecution, prosecution, and probably a death penalty, and HE'S acting illogically?
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-06-23/house-intelligence-committees-mike-rogers-snowdens-actions-defy-logic
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-06-23/house-intelligence-committees-mike-rogers-snowdens-actions-defy-logic
Labels:
Actions,
Defy Logic,
House Intelligence Committee,
Mike Rogers,
Snowden
Saturday, June 22, 2013
The Strange Case of Barrett Brown
It appears that being an investigative journalist is a dangerous occupation these days.
http://www.thenation.com/article/174851/strange-case-barrett-brown#axzz2X194f6it
http://www.thenation.com/article/174851/strange-case-barrett-brown#axzz2X194f6it
Labels:
Barrett Brown,
Strange Case
Barrick Gold to reduce workforce by 55 in Nevada, Utah
More mine closures = higher gold and silver prices.
http://www.reviewjournal.com/news/nevada-and-west/barrick-gold-reduce-workforce-55-nevada-utah
http://www.reviewjournal.com/news/nevada-and-west/barrick-gold-reduce-workforce-55-nevada-utah
Labels:
Barrick Gold,
Nevada,
reduce workforce,
Utah
Golden Minerals Announces Suspension Of Production
The closure of marginal mines due to low underlying precious metals prices will only serve to raise prices of the metals down the road. As Kyle Bass declared, "price solves everything."
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/golden-minerals-announces-suspension-production-200600987.html
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/golden-minerals-announces-suspension-production-200600987.html
Labels:
Golden Minerals,
Suspension Of Production
Friday, June 21, 2013
What Lies Ahead for Gold?
http://www.caseyresearch.com/articles/what-lies-ahead-for-gold
"You should love this if you're a long-term holder of gold, or a believer in gold as a currency – you can buy your insurance cheaper," said Mark Fisher, CEO of MBF Clearing Corp. "A long-term buying opportunity is near."
Labels:
gold,
What Lies Ahead
Nigel Farage - The Government Is Going To Steal Your Money
Farage is the European equivalent of Ron Paul, only he's more articulate and forceful than the recently retired Texas Congressman.
http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/KWN_DailyWeb/Entries/2013/6/21_Nigel_Farage_-_The_Government_Is_Going_To_Steal_Your_Money.html
http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/KWN_DailyWeb/Entries/2013/6/21_Nigel_Farage_-_The_Government_Is_Going_To_Steal_Your_Money.html
Labels:
government,
Nigel Farage,
Steal Your Money
Adam Feuerstein Tweet on Belviq First Week Sales
$ARNA Belviq TRx for week of 6/14 (per IMS) --> 1,087To put this into context, Belviq was only available three days to reach 1,087 prescriptions. It took Qsymia three weeks to get to 1,000 prescriptions. Shares of ARNA are gapping up this morning as a result. Shorts hoping for an unsuccessful Belviq commercial launch better cover now, because they are in for a rude awakening.
— Adam Feuerstein (@adamfeuerstein) June 21, 2013
You know the tide is turning when Arena's former biggest basher has to report positive results.
Labels:
Adam Feuerstein,
Belviq,
First Week,
sales,
tweet
Thursday, June 20, 2013
June 3 Tweet on 10-year Treasury yield
Anybody else notice 10-year Treasury yields have climbed from 1.7 to 2.1%? Um, that's not supposed to happen with QE. Fed losing control?
— Gregory Nguyen (@dakyne) June 4, 2013
Labels:
10-year Treasury,
June 3,
tweet,
Twitter,
yield
Local Governments Reeling Under ObamaCare Costs
More unintended consequences of healthcare reform--and the hypocrisy involved.
http://news.investors.com/061913-660419-local-governments-cut-hours-to-avoid-obamacare-mandate.htm
http://news.investors.com/061913-660419-local-governments-cut-hours-to-avoid-obamacare-mandate.htm
Labels:
Costs,
Local Governments,
Obamacare,
Reeling Under
Wednesday, June 19, 2013
Cramer's Mad Dash: Arena Pharma's Weighty Play
Wow, Cramer's bullish on Arena Pharmaceuticals. Gotta check the Mayan calendar.
http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/
http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/ ?video=3000176847
Labels:
Arena Pharmaceuticals,
Jim Cramer,
Mad Dash,
Weighty Play
Google Challenges Surveillance Gag Order: Squares NSA Secrecy Against First Amendment
Criminals in kind are now pointing fingers at each other.
Because there is still such a thing as a First Amendment in this country, right?
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-06-18/google-challenges-surveillance-gag-order-squares-nsa-secrecy-against-first-amendment
Because there is still such a thing as a First Amendment in this country, right?
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-06-18/google-challenges-surveillance-gag-order-squares-nsa-secrecy-against-first-amendment
Conservative 2013 Budget May Allow Banks to Confiscate Customer's Deposits
Deposits will also confiscated via a "bail-in" scheme in Australia, New Zealand, Japan, the UK, Europe, and the US.
http://canadiantimes.ca/ct2/index.php/canadian-values/chidren-emergency-protection-fund/504-conservative-2013-budget-may-allow-banks-to-confiscate-customer-s-deposits
http://canadiantimes.ca/ct2/index.php/canadian-values/chidren-emergency-protection-fund/504-conservative-2013-budget-may-allow-banks-to-confiscate-customer-s-deposits
Labels:
2013 Budget,
Allow Banks,
Canada,
CONFISCATE,
Customer Deposits
Tuesday, June 18, 2013
Monday, June 17, 2013
The Real Story of the Cyprus Debt Crisis (Part 1)
http://charleshughsmith.blogspot.com/2013/06/the-real-story-of-cyprus-debt-crisis.html
Why do the debt crisis in Cyprus and the subsequent "bail-in" confiscation of bank depositors' money matter? They matter for two reasons:
1. The banking/debt crisis in Cyprus shares many characteristics with other banking/debt crises.2. The official Eurozone resolution of the crisis--the "bail-in" confiscation of 60% of bank depositors' cash in an involuntary exchange for shares in the bank (which are unlikely to have any future value)--may provide a template for future official resolutions of other banking/debt crises.In other words, since the banking/debt crisis in Cyprus is hardly unique, we can anticipate the resolution (confiscation of deposits) may be applied elsewhere.
Labels:
bail-in,
Cyprus Debt Crisis,
Real Story
Jay Taylor: In Precious Metals, Cash Flow Is King
I've seen Jay Taylor give presentations at conferences. He is data-driven, and knows what he speaks of.
http://www.theaureport.com/pub/na/15376
http://www.theaureport.com/pub/na/15376
Labels:
Cash Flow Is King,
Jay Taylor,
precious metals
Copernicus, Galileo and Gold. Part I
This is a must-read op-ed from Hugo Salinas Price, Mexican billionaire, gold and silver bug.
http://www.24hgold.com/english/news-gold-silver-copernicus-galileo-and-gold-part-i.aspx?article=4411701194G10020&redirect=false&contributor=Hugo+Salinas+Price
http://www.24hgold.com/english/news-gold-silver-copernicus-galileo-and-gold-part-i.aspx?article=4411701194G10020&redirect=false&contributor=Hugo+Salinas+Price
Labels:
Copernicus,
Galileo,
gold,
Hugo Salinas Price
Platinum market deficit to hit 844,000oz in 2013 - HSBC
In other words, HSBC analysts don't know what is up or down. Talk about schizophrenically non-committal. The fundamentals scream bullishness, but since HSBC is a big naked short in the precious metals, they have to paint a bearish picture. See JPMorgan.
Long story short: as long as supply deficits continue, platinum prices will rise long-term, even if short-term volatility is technically manipulated by the perma-shorts, who see the same chart patterns as the rest of the traders. They will trip the resistance and support levels, cleaning out the weak hands.
They correctly indicate that the growth of platinum ETF's are short-term bullish for platinum prices, but as we've found with gold and silver, the ETF's are not 100% backed by physical inventory, and are ultimately paper shorting vehicles for the bullion banks, acting as agents for the Fed, Bank of England, and ECB. Paper is sold on liquidation, but no physical delivery is taken--unless of course, you're George Soros who owns at least 100,000 shares. hashtag fractional reserve ponzi scheme
http://www.mineweb.com/mineweb/content/en/mineweb-political-economy?oid=194402&sn=Detail
Long story short: as long as supply deficits continue, platinum prices will rise long-term, even if short-term volatility is technically manipulated by the perma-shorts, who see the same chart patterns as the rest of the traders. They will trip the resistance and support levels, cleaning out the weak hands.
They correctly indicate that the growth of platinum ETF's are short-term bullish for platinum prices, but as we've found with gold and silver, the ETF's are not 100% backed by physical inventory, and are ultimately paper shorting vehicles for the bullion banks, acting as agents for the Fed, Bank of England, and ECB. Paper is sold on liquidation, but no physical delivery is taken--unless of course, you're George Soros who owns at least 100,000 shares. hashtag fractional reserve ponzi scheme
http://www.mineweb.com/mineweb/content/en/mineweb-political-economy?oid=194402&sn=Detail
Sunday, June 16, 2013
Iran Sends 4,000 Troops To Aid Syria's Assad
The enclosed map looks menacing.
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-06-16/iran-sends-4000-troops-aid-syrias-assad
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-06-16/iran-sends-4000-troops-aid-syrias-assad
Click on Image to Enlarge |
Labels:
Aid,
Assad,
Iran Sends,
Syria,
troops
World Gold Council Betrays Gold Investors
Readers should understand that Gresham's Law is at work in India, and the government's plan to discourage the public from owning gold will backfire on them.
http://www.bullionbullscanada.com/gold-commentary/26265-world-gold-council-betrays-gold-investors
http://www.bullionbullscanada.com/gold-commentary/26265-world-gold-council-betrays-gold-investors
Labels:
Betrays,
Gold Investors,
World Gold Council
Saudi Arabian Shares Drop Most in Two Years on Syria Escalation
Bank shares in the middle east may be sinking from war concerns, but crude oil prices will rise if war actually breaks out in Syria or Iran.
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-06-15/saudi-arabian-shares-plunge-amid-escalating-regional-tensions.html
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-06-15/saudi-arabian-shares-plunge-amid-escalating-regional-tensions.html
Labels:
Drop Most,
Saudi Arabian Share,
Syria Escalation
Charles Nenner Research’s Managing Director Says Stocks Will Drop More Than 60% Over Next 7 Years
Charles Nenner Research says stocks and bonds are topping, while gold is bottoming.
http://www.hardassetsinvestor.com/videos/4834-video-charles-nenner-researchs-managing-director-says-stocks-will-drop-more-than-60-over-next-7-years.html
http://www.hardassetsinvestor.com/videos/4834-video-charles-nenner-researchs-managing-director-says-stocks-will-drop-more-than-60-over-next-7-years.html
Physical vs. Paper: The Shanghai Gold Exchange vs. the COMEX
http://jessescrossroadscafe.blogspot.com.au/2013/06/physical-vs-paper-shanghai-gold.html
...
the COMEX is a paper gold market while the SGE is quite clearly a world class market for physical gold.
Labels:
COMEX,
paper,
physical,
Shanghai Gold Exchange
Saturday, June 15, 2013
Developing Crisis in the Developing World
http://dollarcollapse.com/the-economy/developing-crisis-in-the-developing-world/
It’s important to understand that we’re here because for years the developed world in general and the US in particular have been exporting their problems to the developing world via monetary policy. We fund our overspending by creating a bunch of new dollars, many of which flow beyond our borders looking for higher yields. They land in, say, Brazil, pushing up both local asset prices and the exchange rate of the real. So individual Brazilians see their cost of living rise while Brazilian exporters are priced out of global markets. This is the currency war that Brazil’s government has been complaining about.
Labels:
currency war,
Developing Crisis,
Developing World
Expect Panic & Devastation As Control Of Markets Is Lost
Despite jawboning by the Fed, there will be no exit, because if the Fed stops buying US Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities, yields on the long end of the curve will soar. And when interest rates soar, servicing the government's huge debt becomes unmanageable. So yes, deficits and debts do matter.
Besides, QE doesn't stimulate the economy long-term, which is the official desired outcome. QE was necessary to salvage the banking system from collapsing. Issuing new debt to pay off old debt is what insolvent countries resort to before the inevitable default.
QE to infinity, bitchez!
http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/KWN_DailyWeb/Entries/2013/6/15_Expect_Panic_%26_Devastation_As_Control_Of_Markets_Is_Lost.html
Besides, QE doesn't stimulate the economy long-term, which is the official desired outcome. QE was necessary to salvage the banking system from collapsing. Issuing new debt to pay off old debt is what insolvent countries resort to before the inevitable default.
QE to infinity, bitchez!
http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/KWN_DailyWeb/Entries/2013/6/15_Expect_Panic_%26_Devastation_As_Control_Of_Markets_Is_Lost.html
Labels:
Control Of Markets,
Devastation,
Expect Panic,
Lost,
QE
Friday, June 14, 2013
FDIC and Bank of England: Resolving Globally Active, Systemically Important, Financial Institutions
This is a re-post and outlines England's and the US' plans for a bail-in of banks, as we have bail-out fatigue. Instead of tax payers bailing out failing banks, depositors will be targeted.
http://www.fdic.gov/about/srac/2012/gsifi.pdf
http://www.fdic.gov/about/srac/2012/gsifi.pdf
Thursday, June 13, 2013
What Is The Government’s Agenda?
Roberts is a former US Treasury official, not a fringe blogger. Read this.
http://www.paulcraigroberts.org/2013/06/11/what-is-the-governments-agenda-paul-craig-roberts/
http://www.paulcraigroberts.org/2013/06/11/what-is-the-governments-agenda-paul-craig-roberts/
Labels:
Government’s Agenda
ECB Coeure: Moving from Bail-Out to Bail-In Environment
What is a bail-in vs. a bail-out, you ask? The bank bail-outs were funded by governments (i.e. tax payers). Bail-ins will come from bank depositors. That means YOU.
http://online.wsj.com/article/BT-CO-20130612-704910.html
http://online.wsj.com/article/BT-CO-20130612-704910.html
BERLIN--Europe is currently moving from a bail-out environment to a bail-in environment when it comes to rescuing failing banks, a member of the European Central Bank's executive board said Wednesday.
In designing a common bank resolution mechanism for Europe, European Central Bank policymaker Benoit Coeure said making shareholders and investors, rather than taxpayers, pay for the mistakes made by banks will lead to a fairer and sounder environment.
"Before deciding on the architecture of resolution and recovery, we need to know who's going to pay," Mr Coeure said.
Cautioning that Europe lacks urgency on creating a more resilient central governance and reform to spur growth, the central banker said "it seems like it's going to take decades. This is a worry--we don't have decades."
Separately, Mr Coeure said that central bank independence is under strain in Europe, as "we see a rise of nationalistic temptations everywhere in Europe."
Mr. Coeure made the remarks during a panel discussion at an event on German-American dialogue in Berlin.
He also said inflation expectations for the euro zone are anchored at 2%.
Labels:
bail-in,
ECB Coeure,
Environment,
Moving from Bail-Out
Gensler’s Personal Email Use Triggers Hill Inquiry
Now, THIS is indeed ironic. CFTC Chairman Gensler stepped aside and recused himself since he and alleged swindler Jon Corzine were former colleagues at Goldman Sachs.
You may remember Corzine, Mr. "I don't know what happened", when $1.6 billion of aggregated client funds went missing just days prior to the collapse of MF Global, of which he was Chairman of. Corzine was never prosecuted, probably due to the fact that he was a former New Jersey Senator, New Jersey Governor, and oh, by the way, was President Obama's leading fund raiser on Wall Street during his 2008 campaign.
I guess Gensler forgot the NSA can monitor all cell phone calls and all emails, inside or outside corporate intranets. lol
http://blogs.wsj.com/washwire/2013/05/30/genslers-personal-email-use-triggers-hill-inquiry/
You may remember Corzine, Mr. "I don't know what happened", when $1.6 billion of aggregated client funds went missing just days prior to the collapse of MF Global, of which he was Chairman of. Corzine was never prosecuted, probably due to the fact that he was a former New Jersey Senator, New Jersey Governor, and oh, by the way, was President Obama's leading fund raiser on Wall Street during his 2008 campaign.
I guess Gensler forgot the NSA can monitor all cell phone calls and all emails, inside or outside corporate intranets. lol
http://blogs.wsj.com/washwire/2013/05/30/genslers-personal-email-use-triggers-hill-inquiry/
Labels:
Capitol Hill,
CFTC,
Gensler,
Inquiry,
Jon Corzine,
MF Global,
Personal Email,
triggers
Coming Chaos, Phony Global Markets & The War On Gold
http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/KWN_DailyWeb/Entries/2013/6/13_Coming_Chaos%2C_Phony_Global_Markets_%26_The_War_On_Gold.html
"The fact that bond markets have recently been plunging is just a sign that people are losing confidence in the system. But that was bound to happen in phony markets where governments are buying up their own debt.”Barron also added: “This system is not a free, open and transparent system. The current system is built on fraud. Dollars are being created to buy Treasuries, so it’s a fixed game. We’ve never seen this sort of coordinated global market manipulation in world history.This is really an unprecedented situation and it will certainly end in total disaster. Reckless generation of money has always led to great inflation. It just shows the depth of the seriousness of the situation right now that a great inflation has not yet taken hold.But the bottom line is things are fragile not just in the US, but also in Europe and around the world. In this type of environment I can pretty much guarantee you that some kind of black swan event is coming. When the next black swan appears we will see even greater chaos and devastation as people around the world come to grips with the fact that they have been spoon-fed Joseph Goebbels (Nazi style) propaganda and lied to by their leaders.”
Labels:
Coming Chaos,
Phony Global Markets,
War On Gold
Deutsche Bank opens $9 billion gold vault in Singapore
I still don't trust banks to store anything for me. But that's just me. In any event, demand for storage of physical gold is soaring globally, especially in Switzerland and Asia.
http://www.mining.com/deutsche-bank-opens-9-billion-gold-vault-in-singapore-97174/
http://www.mining.com/deutsche-bank-opens-9-billion-gold-vault-in-singapore-97174/
Labels:
Deutsche Bank,
gold vault,
Singapore
NSA surveillance: The US is behaving like China
This guy would know what tyranny is. He's a Chinese political dissident who was thrown in prison for his outspoken opinions on the Chinese government. Now he is warning Americans.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2013/jun/11/nsa-surveillance-us-behaving-like-china?CMP=twt_gu
http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2013/jun/11/nsa-surveillance-us-behaving-like-china?CMP=twt_gu
Labels:
behaving like China,
NSA surveillance,
US
Wednesday, June 12, 2013
Guess which hypocrite wrote this in 2003?
Mr. "Deficits don't matter", and Nobel Laureate himself. This ****ing a-hole sounds like a Tea party member bashing President Obama. Instead, it is Paul Krugman back in 2003 bashing the previous Administration for being fiscally reckless. The same neo-Keynesian apologist who today insists the Fed should print more money, and go deeper into debt.
http://www.nytimes.com/2003/03/11/opinion/a-fiscal-train-wreck.html
http://www.nytimes.com/2003/03/11/opinion/a-fiscal-train-wreck.html
Last week the Congressional Budget Office marked down its estimates yet again. Just two years ago, you may remember, the C.B.O. was projecting a 10-year surplus of $5.6 trillion. Now it projects a 10-year deficit of $1.8 trillion.Spoken like a true fiscal conservative. Only problem is Krugman is a progressive liberal hypocrite.
And that's way too optimistic. The Congressional Budget Office operates under ground rules that force it to wear rose-colored lenses. If you take into account -- as the C.B.O. cannot -- the effects of likely changes in the alternative minimum tax, include realistic estimates of future spending and allow for the cost of war and reconstruction, it's clear that the 10-year deficit will be at least $3 trillion.
So what? Two years ago the administration promised to run large surpluses. A year ago it said the deficit was only temporary. Now it says deficits don't matter. But we're looking at a fiscal crisis that will drive interest rates sky-high.
A leading economist recently summed up one reason why: ''When the government reduces saving by running a budget deficit, the interest rate rises.'' Yes, that's from a textbook by the chief administration economist, Gregory Mankiw.
But what's really scary -- what makes a fixed-rate mortgage seem like such a good idea -- is the looming threat to the federal government's solvency.
That may sound alarmist: right now the deficit, while huge in absolute terms, is only 2 -- make that 3, O.K., maybe 4 -- percent of G.D.P. But that misses the point. ''Think of the federal government as a gigantic insurance company (with a sideline business in national defense and homeland security), which does its accounting on a cash basis, only counting premiums and payouts as they go in and out the door. An insurance company with cash accounting . . . is an accident waiting to happen.'' So says the Treasury under secretary Peter Fisher; his point is that because of the future liabilities of Social Security and Medicare, the true budget picture is much worse than the conventional deficit numbers suggest.
How will the train wreck play itself out? Maybe a future administration will use butterfly ballots to disenfranchise retirees, making it possible to slash Social Security and Medicare. Or maybe a repentant Rush Limbaugh will lead the drive to raise taxes on the rich. But my prediction is that politicians will eventually be tempted to resolve the crisis the way irresponsible governments usually do: by printing money, both to pay current bills and to inflate away debt.
And as that temptation becomes obvious, interest rates will soar. It won't happen right away. With the economy stalling and the stock market plunging, short-term rates are probably headed down, not up, in the next few months, and mortgage rates may not have hit bottom yet. But unless we slide into Japanese-style deflation, there are much higher interest rates in our future.
I think that the main thing keeping long-term interest rates low right now is cognitive dissonance.
Labels:
deficit,
fiscal train wreck,
hypocrite,
Paul Krugman
This is what crisis feels like
Here's a pretext, in case some of you doubters don't believe a currency collapse can happen here in the US. Argentina was the most economically developed (if unstable) country in South America. Rhodesia (now Zimbabwe) was the second most developed economy in Africa (behind South Africa).
And if you really want to take it further, the US itself has experienced two currency collapses in its history: after the Revolutionary War and after the Civil War, both due to high indebtedness and the resultant destruction of its currency.
Sovereign defaults have occurred throughout history. What's so special about the next one? Because the country possessing the global reserve currency has never defaulted before. The problem lays in the fact that every country in the world possesses USDollars (black market or otherwise), and when the dollar does collapse, the interconnected global financial system would descend into meltdown in cascading manner. There will be few safe havens to hide out in.
http://www.sovereignman.com/trends/this-is-what-crisis-feels-like-a-personal-story-12018/
And if you really want to take it further, the US itself has experienced two currency collapses in its history: after the Revolutionary War and after the Civil War, both due to high indebtedness and the resultant destruction of its currency.
Sovereign defaults have occurred throughout history. What's so special about the next one? Because the country possessing the global reserve currency has never defaulted before. The problem lays in the fact that every country in the world possesses USDollars (black market or otherwise), and when the dollar does collapse, the interconnected global financial system would descend into meltdown in cascading manner. There will be few safe havens to hide out in.
http://www.sovereignman.com/trends/this-is-what-crisis-feels-like-a-personal-story-12018/
On December 1, 2001, Argentina’s economy was in trouble. Unemployment was high, debt was high, and recession had taken hold. But life was somewhat ‘normal’.
Basic services still functioned. And no one had to really worry about… food. Or water. Then it all changed. Literally within a day.
On December 2nd, our bankrupt government imposed measures that essentially froze everyone’s bank accounts. You can just imagine– one day having access to your funds, and the next day being completely cut off.
Within a matter of days, people were out in the streets doing battle with the police. The government soon defaulted on its debt, and the currency went into freefall.
Life becomes hell because you do not know whether you are going to be able to put food on the table the next day.
And in such a state of despair, you’re not in a position to make good decisions. It’s all about survival.
Of course, we kept thinking, “why didn’t we see this coming? Why didn’t we do something sooner?”
If only we had moved some money out of the country before, or taken steps to safeguard his pension, life would have turned out much differently.
It’s like that old saying– better to be a year (or decade) too early than a day too late. Because one should never underestimate the speed with which things can unravel.
Tuesday, June 11, 2013
Dealers rigged forex spot benchmarks
We now know the global "too big to fail" banks manipulate the LIBOR. They "intervene" in propping up equities and the US Treasury bond market, with the help of the Fed's QE. The manipulation in the energy markets was exposed. Now, we find they manipulate the foreign currency markets. Gee, no way they could manipulate precious metals prices, right?
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/dealers-rigged-forex-spot-benchmarks-report-2013-06-11
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/dealers-rigged-forex-spot-benchmarks-report-2013-06-11
Labels:
benchmarks,
dealers,
forex spot,
rigged
Air Controller Strike in France Causes Cancellations
To my family members traveling to Europe this summer: good luck.
http://www.nytimes.com/2013/06/12/business/global/air-controller-strike-in-france.html?_r=0
http://www.nytimes.com/2013/06/12/business/global/air-controller-strike-in-france.html?_r=0
Labels:
Air Controller,
Cancellations,
France,
strike
Greek "Recovery" May No Longer Be Televized Following "Transitory" Shut Down Of National Broadcaster
Things are going so swell in Greece that their national broadcaster is being shut down--indefinitely. I guess their plummeting economy will now be covered by Tweets and Facebook. Hashtag fourth world country.
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-06-11/greek-recovery-may-no-longer-be-televized-following-transitory-shut-down-national-br
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-06-11/greek-recovery-may-no-longer-be-televized-following-transitory-shut-down-national-br
Labels:
Greek Recovery,
National Broadcaster,
no longer,
Shut Down,
Televised
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