Showing posts with label decoupling. Show all posts
Showing posts with label decoupling. Show all posts
Thursday, August 15, 2013
Monday, June 17, 2013
Wednesday, May 1, 2013
Decoupling In Precious Metals Markets
I have blogged numerous times about the decoupling of prices between the paper precious metals markets versus the physical markets. Folks, it is already here.
http://www.bullionbullscanada.com/gold-commentary/26158-decoupling-in-precious-metals-markets
http://www.bullionbullscanada.com/gold-commentary/26158-decoupling-in-precious-metals-markets
Labels:
decoupling,
ETF,
gold,
paper,
physical,
Precious Metals Markets,
premiums,
silver,
spot
Tuesday, May 29, 2012
Friday, July 9, 2010
Stocks and gold stocks decoupling
http://www.caseyresearch.com/editorial/3505?ppref=CRX178ED0710B
We haven’t seen this level of separation between gold stocks and the general stock market since the first quarter of 2009. This demonstrates obvious strength in our sector, and is precisely the kind of action that can signal we’re getting closer to our precious metals investments starting a major leg up.
In the big picture, this data should be considered a short-term indicator. However, it’s a refreshing reminder that at some point, it won’t matter what the broader markets are doing. In the precious metals bull market of the 1970s, the Barron’s Gold Mining Index soared 652%, while the S&P gained only 22% for the entire decade. This means that if you’re bearish on the economy, you don’t have to be bearish on gold stocks.
At gold’s bottom in April 2001, the Dow/Gold ratio (DJIA divided by gold price) was 41.2. It now stands at 7.9 (as of July 2).
When gold peaked in January 1980, the Dow/Gold ratio reached “one,” meaning they were both selling for about the same price. To hit that same ratio today, gold will have to go higher and the Dow simultaneously lower. The fundamental reasons gold will rise are far from over, and a second leg down in the broader markets seems almost locked in at this point.
In this context, Doug Casey’s call for a $5,000 gold price doesn’t seem so farfetched. It also coincides with his call for a Greater Depression, an environment not exactly suited for higher stock prices. $5,000 gold = 5,000 Dow.
Where do you think they’ll meet – three? Eight?
Labels:
decoupling,
DJIA/gold ratio,
equities,
gold stocks
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