Sunday, August 8, 2010

Further job losses may spur quantitative easing

This is what I have been predicting all along: another round of quantitative easing due to a non-existent economic recovery, despite incessant cheerleading by government economists to the contrary.

http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/2010/aug/06/us-jobs-fall-double-expected


The sharp drop in jobs, which follows news of slowing economic growth in the US, is likely to prompt discussions at the Federal Reserve over implementing more quantitative easing – a way of pumping money into the financial system. The central bank's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meets on Tuesday and Fed chairman Ben Bernanke has already hinted to markets that its programme of asset purchases could be resumed.

"The big picture is unfortunately that the downtrend in US economic growth is once again obvious, and these figures will probably do little to deter the FOMC from ultimately implementing fresh stimulus in the near future," said Nick Beecroft at Saxo Bank.

"I'd expect them to reinstate a quantitative easing programme - buying either US Treasuries or mortgage-backed securities - either at next week's meeting, or more likely at the following meeting on 21 September."

Goldman Sachs is now in the same camp, predicting QE 2.0 will be announced in Tuesday's FOMC meeting. They also lowered their forecast for GDP growth for 2011 from 2.5% to 1.9%, and raised their estimate for the unemployment rate from 9.7% to 10%.

http://www.zerohedge.com/article/goldman-explains-imminent-launch-1-trillion-qe-2-muses-dreaded-double-d

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