Showing posts with label bearish sentiment indicators. Show all posts
Showing posts with label bearish sentiment indicators. Show all posts
Friday, March 4, 2011
Friday, July 9, 2010
Do bearish sentiment indicators signal a bottom?
http://blogs.forbes.com/investor/2010/07/08/bearish-sentiment-surges/
The last time bearish sentiment was higher was March 5, 2009. This coincided with the bottom of the last bear market. However, bearish sentiment hit 57.1% on November 20, 2008 and stocks continued to fall after that date.
Though the AAII Sentiment Indicator can be viewed as a contrarian signal, I would caution against relying on any one indicator as a sign that the market is at a turning point.
A better method for determining market bottoms would be to use a combination of indicators. Though the sentiment numbers are insightful, they should be viewed as only one part of a broader market analysis.
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