Many observers acknowledge that gold is a good hedge against inflation,
as currencies are debased by central bankers. What they don't
understand is that gold performs even better with deflation, which
accompanies monetary disorder. They don't realize that gold is a safe
haven asset when confidence in other asset classes dissipate, as they eventually do with government over-indebtedness and reckless currency and credit creation.
In other words, in a time
of crisis, gold isn't just a commodity. It's a sound currency which
will maintain its value, unlike fiat currency backed by nothing
tangible.
Look at the chart of equities (S&P 500) vs. gold. Since
2001, the global economy has experienced two deflationary (or at least
disinflationary) wipe outs. Inflation has been dormant--at least
according to official CPI statistics (which is another boondoggle). Gold
should have underperformed in that type of environment, according to conventional wisdom. Yet, during
this time period of deflation, stocks have doubled, while gold has
surged 3 1/2 fold. So the answer to the question: "when should one
hold gold: to hedge against inflation or deflation?", is simple. It's
both.
Sunday, February 26, 2017
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