http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1084585
Conspiracy Theories
Cass R. Sunstein
Harvard Law School
Adrian Vermeule
Harvard Law School
January 15, 2008
Harvard Public Law Working Paper No. 08-03
U of Chicago, Public Law Working Paper No. 199
U of Chicago Law & Economics, Olin Working Paper No. 387
Abstract:
Many millions of people hold conspiracy theories;
they believe that powerful people have worked together in order to
withhold the truth about some important practice or some terrible event.
A recent example is the belief, widespread in some parts of the world,
that the attacks of 9/11 were carried out not by Al Qaeda, but by Israel
or the United States. Those who subscribe to conspiracy theories may
create serious risks, including risks of violence, and the existence of
such theories raises significant challenges for policy and law. The
first challenge is to understand the mechanisms by which conspiracy
theories prosper; the second challenge is to understand how such
theories might be undermined. Such theories typically spread as a result
of identifiable cognitive blunders, operating in conjunction with
informational and reputational influences. A distinctive feature of
conspiracy theories is their self-sealing quality. Conspiracy theorists
are not likely to be persuaded by an attempt to dispel their theories;
they may even characterize that very attempt as further proof of the
conspiracy. Because those who hold conspiracy theories typically suffer
from a crippled epistemology, in accordance with which it is rational to
hold such theories, the best response consists in cognitive
infiltration of extremist groups. Various policy dilemmas, such as the
question whether it is better for government to rebut conspiracy
theories or to ignore them, are explored in this light.
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