The canary in the coal mine: the CME no longer wishes to be the clearinghouse for European derivatives. If I were a holder of Greek credit default swaps, I would unload them before they turn into toilet paper--if they haven't already. With the ISDA not acknowledging the 74% haircut in Greek bonds as a credit default "event", CDS holders basically own the equivalent of a life insurance policy of a corpse--only the coroner just declared the corpse a living and breathing entity. So run along you bankers and hedge fund managers: you hedged correctly, but we ain't paying out these insurance claims, because the patient ain't dead until we say it's dead.
http://www.cftc.gov/PressRoom/PressReleases/pr6208-12
Here's the problem: the patient is dead. And so it will be with the neighboring patients on life support as well.
Thursday, March 15, 2012
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