Thursday, May 13, 2010

Accumulation

The only sector in the equities market showing accumulation is the precious metals mining sector (the GDX ETF is a good proxy). Check the share volume numbers over the last five years.

Whether you believe we started a new bull market since March 2009, or we are in the midst of a rebound within a secular bear market, the volume has to mirror the price action to be confirmatory. Other sectors are showing declining volume, despite higher prices, which is non-confirming. Liquidity injections (like the most recent $1 trillion Euro bailout) may prop up equities, but the foundation could be built on tooth picks.

See disclaimers on side bar.

Disclosure: long precious metals mining shares, long some biotechs, and natural gas pipeline companies.

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