Wednesday, August 12, 2009

Silver



While gold may receive most of the attention as an alternative investment, silver may offer the better value than its more infamous cousin. The gold/silver ratio is approximately 70:1 (gold is $950 and silver $14.50 currently), which makes silver historically cheap relative to gold.

Gold has maintained its monetary store of value spanning centuries, and most of its inventory above ground exists in the form of bullion, coins or jewelry. Silver on the other hand, has many industrial and scientific uses, including in electronics, batteries, solar panels, disinfectants, and antibiotics, among others. Hence, 97% of the silver that has ever been mined has been consumed, never again to be recycled. A shortage of silver appears to be more imminent than gold, as individuals recycle gold jewelry for cash.

Because silver on the COMEX exchange is a smaller market than gold (which is already much smaller than equities, bonds, and foreign currencies), it is easily manipulated. Hence, price increases in silver often lead price appreciation in gold.

Now that individual ownership of silver is encouraged to 1.2 billion Chinese, a rally in silver becomes even more probable.

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