Monday, July 17, 2017

Gold Performs Well Even When Interest Rates Rise

Many pundits believe rising interest rates are bearish for precious metals, since rising bond yields provide more effective competition against gold and silver, which pay no dividends.  By extension, the conventional wisdom is investors would then gravitate toward fixed-income investments (which pay a coupon) over physical gold or silver.  It's intuitively correct, but history shows it is mostly inaccurate.

Gold made its historic run up in the 1970's when inflation was rearing its ugly head.  More recently, the Fed raised interest rates a tick (reversing policy for the first time since 2008) in December 2015, which coincided with the bottom in gold.  The reason is because not only is gold a good hedge against inflation, but it performs even better when there is distress in financial markets and doubts about the soundness of currencies.

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