Tuesday, July 9, 2013

Turk - Something Shocking Has Occurred In The Gold Market

I tweeted this back in June 3, 2013:

Since then, 10-year Treasury yields have reached as high as 2.74%. 

Yet the Fed continues to purchase more government debt, as its balance sheet last week reaching another new record high with total assets of $3.49 trillion.  The Fed is not tightening monetary policy, so why are interest rates rising even though the economy is weak and the Fed continues to purchase debt for its QE program?
I think there is only one logical answer, Eric:  Interest rates are rising because of QE.  We have reached a tipping point, meaning that QE can no longer keep interest rates from rising.  The market is now focusing on the dark-side of QE, which is the inflationary consequences of all this money printing.
Rising interest rates with QE ongoing means that we have reached the stage where the Fed has now lost control.  This result was inevitable because market forces always beat central planners and its groupies in the end.  Only the timing of this event could not be predicted.
Since the bailout of the financial system in the autumn of 2008, and the launch of QE in March 2009, desperate central planners had been hoping their crazy theories which try to create wealth by printing money would work.  But those theories never had a chance.  All one had to do was read monetary history to see that these schemes have always failed.
The key point is that the market is now responding to this central planning foolishness.  Capital is protecting itself by demanding higher interest rates, and as interest rates climb, the fallout will be immense.  This brings me to the second key event taking place:  Even the LBMA website now shows that gold is in backwardation.  The gold forward rate out to three months is negative.

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