Friday, January 30, 2009

Gold--due for a pause--or ready to explode again?

I questioned whether gold was due for a pause a couple days ago, as the price of gold kept spiking up, breaking resistance levels. Well, the price shot up again overnight in Asia, BUT the mining shares didn't move much this morning. So I hedged this morning, not selling my positions, instead buying a couple puts, which will profit should ABX correct. Think of it as a cheap form of insurance in case gold pauses--without having to trigger a taxable event from profit-taking.

The price of the mining shares usually lead the actual price of the underlying commodity. In other words, it's gone up too fast and is looking heavy. There's that Physics training kicking in again...:-)

Having said that, I'm still bullish on gold medium- and long-term, as the fundamentals are unimpaired, to borrow a quote from Jim Rogers. But gold mining shares do look a bit tired at these levels. More conservative investors may want to take some profits off the table--a 100% profit in two months is nothing to sneeze at.

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